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A survey index of how optimistic US households feel about current conditions and the outlook six months ahead.
| Published by | The Conference Board |
|---|---|
| Country | United States |
| Currency affected | USD |
| Release frequency | Monthly |
| Usual release time | 14:00 GMT (UTC+00:00) |
| Impact rating | Medium impact |
| Typical volatility | 15-30 pips on EUR/USD inside the first 30 minutes |
The CB Consumer Confidence is released monthly by The Conference Board, usually at 14:00 GMT (UTC+00:00). These are the dates inside our calendar window.
Every release in the window has already been published. The next one falls outside the four-week demo calendar.
Confidence leads discretionary spending, which is the swing factor in US growth.
The labour-differential sub-index is a well-followed early signal for the unemployment rate.
Typical volatility around the release is 15-30 pips on EUR/USD inside the first 30 minutes. That is an average, not a limit: when the figure lands far from consensus, or when it contradicts the central bank's own guidance, the move can be several times larger and can extend for the rest of the session.
| Pair | Why it reacts |
|---|---|
| EUR/USD | Modest dollar impulse. |
| AUD/USD | Risk-tone sensitive. |
| USD/JPY | Follows the equity reaction. |
Surprise is the released figure minus the consensus forecast, in the units of the release. Green means the figure printed above consensus, red below.
| Release date | Period | Previous | Forecast | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | May 2026 | 99.4 | 96.9 | 98.1 | +1.2 |
| 29 May 2026 | Apr 2026 | 100.2 | 100.8 | 99.4 | -1.4 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Mar 2026 | 100.9 | 100.4 | 100.2 | -0.2 |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Feb 2026 | 101.5 | 100.0 | 100.9 | +0.9 |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Jan 2026 | 96.1 | 102.2 | 101.5 | -0.7 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Dec 2025 | 95.1 | 96.4 | 96.1 | -0.3 |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Nov 2025 | 97.7 | 93.8 | 95.1 | +1.3 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Oct 2025 | 97.3 | 97.1 | 97.7 | +0.6 |
The Conference Board publishes the CB Consumer Confidence for United States. It is released monthly, typically at 14:00 GMT (UTC+00:00).
We rate this release medium impact. In our sample the typical move is 15-30 pips on EUR/USD inside the first 30 minutes, though a large deviation from consensus can produce considerably more.
EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY carry the cleanest reaction. Modest dollar impulse.
No. The currency reaction depends on how the figure changes the expected path of interest rates, not on whether the headline is high or low. The same surprise can be read very differently depending on the central bank's current stance.